e-ISSN 2231-8534
ISSN 0128-7702
Wei Ni Soh, Haslinah Muhamad and Ong Tze San
Pertanika Journal of Social Science and Humanities, Volume 29, Issue 3, September 2021
DOI: https://doi.org/10.47836/pjssh.29.3.05
Keywords: Advanced countries, emerging countries, government efficiency, macroeconomics, public debt
Published on: 27 September 2021
This research investigates the empirical relationship of government efficiency, corruption, and inflation regarding public debt between advanced and emerging economies. Random effects estimation is used to analyse a sample of 40 countries. The analysis results show that corruption and inflation in advanced economies have a significant and positive effect on public debt. Corruption affects public debt to increase, but on the flip side, inflation affects public debt to decrease. In emerging economies, the results show a positive impact of government efficiency on public debt. Hence, government efficiency will be considered an obstacle when a policy initiated to reduce public debt. Meanwhile, policymakers should take note countries’ corruption and inflation rates when formulating policies to reduce public debt in advanced economies.
Abbas, S. A., Belhocine, N., El-Ganainy, A., & Horton, M. (2011). Historical patterns and dynamics of public debt - Evidence from a new database. IMF Economic Review, 59(4), 717-742.
Akitoby, B., Binder, A., & Komatsuzaki, T. (2017). Inflation and public debt reversals in the G7 countries. Journal of Banking and Financial Economics, 1(7), 28-50.
Alesina, A., & Tabellini, G. (1990). A positive theory of fiscal deficits and government debt. The Review of Economic Studies, 57(3), 403-414. https://doi.org/10.2307/2298021
Azzimonti, M., De Francisco, E., & Quadrini, V. (2014). Financial globalization, inequality, and the rising public debt. American Economic Review, 104(8), 2267-2302.
Barro, R. J. (1979). On the determination of the public debt. Journal of Political Economy, 87(5), 940-971.
Battaglini, M., & Coate, S. (2008). A dynamic theory of public spending, taxation, and debt. American Economic Review, 98(1), 201-236.
Benfratello, L., Del Monte, A., & Pennacchio, L. (2018). Corruption and public debt: A cross-country analysis. Applied Economics Letters, 25(5), 340-344.
Bergman, U. M., Hutchison, M. M., & Jensen, S. E. H. (2016). Promoting sustainable public finances in the European Union: The role of fiscal rules and government efficiency. European Journal of Political Economy, 44, 1-19. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2016.04.005
Coelli, T. (1998). A multitage methodology for the solution of orientated DEA models. Operations Research Letters, 23, 143-149. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0167-6377(98)00036-4
Cook W. D., & Joe Z. (2014). DEA for two-stage networks: Efficiency decompositions and modeling techniques. Data Envelopment Analysis, 1-29.
Cooray, A., Dzhumashev, R., & Schneider, F. (2017). How does corruption affect public debt? An empirical analysis. World development, 90, 115-127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2016.08.020
Elgin, C., & Uras, B. R. (2013). Public debt, sovereign default risk and shadow economy. Journal of Financial Stability, 9(4), 628-640.
Escolano, M. J. (2010). A practical guide to public debt dynamics, fiscal sustainability, and cyclical adjustment of budgetary aggregates. International Monetary Fund.
Fournier, J. M., & Bétin, M. (2018). Sovereign defaults: Evidence on the importance of government effectiveness (No. 1494). OECD Publishing.
Giannitsarou, C., & Scott, A. (2006). Inflation implications of rising government debt (No. w12654). National Bureau of Economic Research.
González-Fernández, M., & González-Velasco, C. (2014). Shadow economy, corruption and public debt in Spain. Journal of Policy Modeling, 36(6), 1101-1117.
Grigoli, F., & Kapsoli, M. J. (2013, August 28). Waste not, want not: The efficiency of health expenditure in emerging and developing economies (No. 13-187). International Monetary Fund. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2016/12/31/Waste-Not-Want-Not-The-Efficiency-of-Health-Expenditure-in-Emerging-and-Developing-Economies-40899
Gupta, S., & Verhoeven, M. (2001). The efficiency of government expenditure: Experiences from Africa. Journal of policy modeling, 23(4), 433-467.
Hall, G. J., & Sargent, T. J. (2011). Interest rate risk and other determinants of post-WWII US government debt/GDP dynamics. American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, 3(3), 192-214.
Hallerberg, M., & Wolff, G. B. (2008). Fiscal institutions, fiscal policy and sovereign risk premia in EMU. Public Choice, 136(3-4), 379-396.
Hauner, D., & Kyobe, A. (2008, September 1). Determinants of government efficiency (No. 2008-2228). International Monetary Fund. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2016/12/31/Determinants-of-Government-Efficiency-22296
Herndon, T., Ash, M., & Pollin, R. (2014). Does high public debt consistently stifle economic growth? A critique of Reinhart and Rogoff. Cambridge Journal of Economics, 38(2), 257-279.
Heylen, F., Hoebeeck, A., & Buyse, T. (2013). Government efficiency, institutions, and the effects of fiscal consolidation on public debt. European Journal of Political Economy, 31, 40-59. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejpoleco.2013.03.001
IMF (2018). Public debt. https:// https://www.imf.org/en/Data
Liu, C., Moldogaziev, T. T., & Mikesell, J. L. (2017). Corruption and state and local government debt expansion. Public Administration Review, 77(5), 681-690.
Loungani, M. P., & Swagel, M. P. (2001, December). Sources of inflation in developing countries (Working Paper No. 1-198). International Monetary Fund. https://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/wp/2001/wp01198.pdf
Kim, E., Ha, Y., & Kim, S. (2017). Public debt, corruption and sustainable economic growth. Sustainability, 9(3), 433. https://doi.org/10.3390/su9030433
Mauro, P. (1998). Corruption and the composition of government expenditure. Journal of Public Economics, 69(2), 263-279.
Montes, G. C., & Paschoal, P. C. (2016). Corruption: What are the effects on government effectiveness? Empirical evidence considering developed and developing countries. Applied Economics Letters, 23(2), 146-150.
Panizza, U. (2008). Domestic and external public debt in developing countries (Discussion Paper No 188). United Nations Conference on Trade and Development. https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:unc:dispap:188.
Pareto, V. (1906). Manual of political economy. Milan.
Reinhart, C. M., & Rogoff, K. S. (2010). Growth in a time of debt. American Economic Review, 100(2), 573-578.
Reinhart, C. M., & Rogoff, K. S. (2011). From financial crash to debt crisis. American Economic Review, 101(5), 1676-1706.
Reinhart, C. M., & Sbrancia, M. B. (2011, March). The liquidation of government debt (Working Paper 16893). National Bureau of Economic Research. https://www.imf.org/external/np/seminars/eng/2011/res2/pdf/crbs.pdf
Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1993). Corruption. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 108(3), 599-617. https://doi.org/10.2307/2118402
Tanzi, V., & Chu, K. Y. (Eds.). (1998). Income distribution and high-quality growth. Mit Press.
Tanzi, V., & Schuknecht, L. (1997). Reforming government: An overview of recent experience. European Journal of Political Economy, 13(3), 395-417.
Tarek, B. A., & Ahmed, Z. (2017). Institutional quality and public debt accumulation: An empirical analysis. International Economic Journal, 31(3), 415-435.
Transparency International. (2019, January 29). Asia Pacific: Little to no progress on anti-corruption. https://www.transparency.org/news/feature/asia_pacific_makes_little_to_no_progress_on_anti_corruption
Verhoeven, M., Gupta, M. S., & Tiongson, M. E. (1999, February 1). Does higher government spending buy better results in education and health care? International Monetary Fund. https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2016/12/30/Does-Higher-Government-Spending-Buy-Better-Results-in-Education-and-Health-Care-2892#:~:text=Does%20Higher%20Government%20Spending%20Buy%20Better%20Results%20in%20Education%20and%20Health%20Care%3F,-Author%2FEditor%3A& text=Summary%3A,improves%20education %20and%20health%20indicators.
Wang, H., Huang, J., & Li, H. (2017). Local government debt risk, fiscal expenditure efficiency and economic growth. In Proceedings of the Tenth International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management (pp. 1565-1576). Springer.
World Bank. (2018). Government efficiency. https://govdata360.worldbank.org/indicators/h5f135ad9
ISSN 0128-7702
e-ISSN 2231-8534
Recent Articles